8 new MIDOS signals
LOW_VOL
VIX 14.5 (5% ptl) · Position: 100%

Z vs Quant Divergence

Where fundamentals lead momentum (reload) or trail it (trim). $2B+ MCap universe. T1 = |divergence| ≥ 30, T2 = 15–30. ACT requires Quant Grade C+ with Q3M > Q12M inflection; otherwise WATCH.

Reload Candidates — Fundamentals Ahead
T1 ACT 15 · T1 WATCH 45 · T2 ACT 0 · T2 WATCH 0
Z percentile > Q percentile by ≥ 15. Strongest signal: Z high, Q catching up, MA inflecting.
TierTickerSectorPriceMCapZ PctlQ PctlDivgQ3MQ12MMAFundQuantTotal
T1WATCH
JOBYIndustrials$6.74$6.7B99%3%+96.1-16.25-7.540.852EEE
T1WATCH
ALNYHealth Care$266.11$35.6B98%5%+92.8-1.40-6.490.854CED
T1WATCH
CELHConsumer Staples$30.66$7.8B96%5%+91.43.77-6.640.991DEE
T1WATCH
FGFinancials$25.04$3.3B98%6%+91.3-7.22-6.300.951CDD
T1WATCH
LIFInformation Technology$44.17$3.6B97%6%+91.1-1.92-6.431.043CED
T1WATCH
CHWYConsumer Discretionary$23.66$9.7B94%3%+90.66.72-7.411.046BEC
T1WATCH
CALMConsumer Staples$74.63$3.5B91%4%+87.11.00-7.241.034DED
T1WATCH
CLXConsumer Staples$93.06$11.3B95%8%+86.7-1.78-5.631.054DDD
T1WATCH
AREReal Estate$52.65$9.1B94%8%+86.02.89-5.621.031DDD
T1WATCH
GRFSHealth Care$7.80$5.3B89%5%+84.60.64-6.621.018CED
T1ACT
FIGInformation Technology$24.12$12.9B92%8%+84.05.07-5.731.164DCD
T1ACT
AFRMFinancials$72.35$24.4B96%14%+82.22.49-4.491.042BCC
T1ACT
DUOLConsumer Discretionary$154.46$7.2B94%12%+82.115.22-4.791.144CBC
T1WATCH
GRABIndustrials$3.42$14B83%1%+82.0-1.21-9.060.981CED
T1WATCH
HDConsumer Discretionary$321.05$320.3B84%3%+81.70.33-8.181.018DED
T1WATCH
ASConsumer Discretionary$29.53$17.2B86%6%+80.4-10.42-6.360.965BED
T1WATCH
IMBBYConsumer Staples$33.42$25.3B90%10%+80.1-9.47-5.310.971DED
T1WATCH
AEROIndustrials$15.79$2.3B91%11%+79.4-3.36-5.040.957CED
T1ACT
HUBSInformation Technology$247.60$12.7B96%17%+79.46.26-3.981.094BCC
T1ACT
BXPReal Estate$67.69$12.2B96%18%+78.16.08-3.761.067DCC
T1WATCH
BILICommunication Services$15.23$6.4B82%4%+78.0-9.86-6.850.931CED
T1ACT
BMNRInformation Technology$24.97$15.1B91%13%+77.412.19-4.601.086DCD
T1WATCH
APPInformation Technology$320.56$107.7B93%15%+77.3-19.90-4.170.766BED
T1ACT
BLKBInformation Technology$47.10$2.1B93%16%+76.823.61-3.991.261CCC
T1WATCH
LIIIndustrials$390.53$13.5B80%3%+76.6-14.05-7.490.856CED
T1WATCH
LVSConsumer Discretionary$44.37$28.7B89%13%+76.3-12.04-4.680.944CED
T1ACT
BULLFinancials$9.74$5.3B87%11%+76.220.31-5.051.125DBC
T1WATCH
FUTUFinancials$121.75$17.1B85%9%+76.012.27-5.460.966CED
T1WATCH
DKNGConsumer Discretionary$24.01$11.9B78%3%+75.6-0.68-7.840.984DED
T1ACT
GDDYInformation Technology$101.31$12.8B91%16%+75.49.16-4.111.077BCC
T1WATCH
AXONIndustrials$515.67$41.9B90%15%+75.21.44-4.231.176CDC
T1WATCH
HGVConsumer Discretionary$42.05$3.3B92%17%+75.1-9.51-3.960.941DEE
T1WATCH
ADCommunication Services$38.50$3.3B97%22%+75.1-3.10-3.080.893BED
T1WATCH
HXGBYInformation Technology$10.02$26.9B94%19%+75.08.73-3.621.062CDD
T1ACT
EQHFinancials$52.96$14.4B98%23%+74.617.10-2.861.102DBC
T1WATCH
EVRFinancials$297.92$11.5B89%14%+74.6-11.58-4.420.915CED
T1WATCH
LRLCYConsumer Staples$88.96$236.9B97%22%+74.51.57-2.951.022DDD
T1WATCH
BYDConsumer Discretionary$78.02$5.7B90%15%+74.2-14.52-4.130.976CED
T1WATCH
JBTMIndustrials$117.72$6.1B87%13%+74.1-4.47-4.720.956CED
T1WATCH
CYATYIndustrials$18.27$338.1B84%10%+73.7-13.91-5.350.943BED
T1WATCH
BAMFinancials$50.60$80.8B80%6%+73.73.82-6.261.061ADC
T1WATCH
KMBConsumer Staples$104.96$34.9B91%17%+73.64.89-3.851.050CDD
T1ACT
DASHConsumer Discretionary$211.73$91.7B92%18%+73.414.36-3.701.165CCC
T1WATCH
BAHIndustrials$72.80$8.8B86%13%+73.2-4.77-4.701.017CED
T1ACT
ADTConsumer Discretionary$7.46$5.4B81%9%+72.67.80-5.591.061CCC
T1WATCH
HKXCYFinancials$52.45$66.3B82%10%+72.04.88-5.301.020CED
T1WATCH
IRTCHealth Care$123.07$4.1B79%7%+71.37.60-5.991.038CDC
T1WATCH
FNMAFinancials$5.98$6.9B87%16%+71.0-6.20-4.080.904DED
T1WATCH
KEPUtilities$11.94$15.3B94%24%+69.7-4.66-2.690.922CED
T1WATCH
CALXInformation Technology$35.96$2.3B71%1%+69.6-4.75-9.210.965DED
T1WATCH
CLPBYHealth Care$7.15$16.1B74%4%+69.613.62-6.811.080BDC
T1WATCH
BRIndustrials$172.88$19.7B72%3%+69.29.46-8.111.098CDD
T1WATCH
LOARIndustrials$67.85$6.4B85%17%+68.81.15-3.921.063CDD
T1WATCH
BKEConsumer Discretionary$43.15$2.2B73%5%+68.6-4.08-6.600.953DEE
T1WATCH
IDXXHealth Care$535.38$42.2B77%9%+68.2-5.06-5.611.004CED
T1WATCH
HLNEFinancials$103.06$5.7B73%5%+67.910.59-6.681.114CDC
T1ACT
LYFTIndustrials$16.72$6.3B99%32%+67.88.72-1.451.116ABB
T1WATCH
GMEConsumer Discretionary$19.16$8.6B85%19%+66.4-8.67-3.620.886BED
T1ACT
CARGCommunication Services$33.74$3B93%28%+65.411.74-1.841.076BCB
T1ACT
GFLIndustrials$43.73$15.8B90%25%+64.916.59-2.561.071CCC
Trim Candidates — Momentum Ahead
T1 ACT 20 · T1 WATCH 40 · T2 ACT 0 · T2 WATCH 0
Q percentile > Z percentile by ≥ 15. Risk: price has run past fundamentals.
TierTickerSectorPriceMCapZ PctlQ PctlDivgQ3MQ12MMAFundQuantTotal
T1WATCH
BTEEnergy$4.86$3.4B2%98%-95.84.0811.240.997BBB
T1ACT
CLMTEnergy$53.13$4.7B4%100%-95.624.9017.411.205CAB
T1ACT
LIFEFinancials$39.85$3.8B1%97%-95.525.119.971.396DAB
T1WATCH
HPEnergy$44.36$4.4B2%98%-95.310.4610.921.071DAB
T1ACT
CMBTEnergy$19.49$5.7B3%98%-94.918.4811.441.106BAA
T1WATCH
ALMMaterials$17.57$5.1B1%95%-93.41.309.120.886CDC
T1WATCH
CHRNHealth Care$20.26$3B1%94%-93.12.368.581.125EAC
T1WATCH
GSATCommunication Services$82.34$10.7B2%94%-91.9-2.898.631.009EAC
T1WATCH
IBRXHealth Care$8.08$8.6B3%93%-90.65.898.400.992CCC
T1ACT
CIBFinancials$100.58$23.8B9%97%-88.623.8010.761.186CAB
T1ACT
IOVAHealth Care$8.79$4B8%97%-88.519.1210.001.400CAB
T1WATCH
AXSMHealth Care$206.68$10.8B2%87%-85.3-8.666.750.956CBC
T1WATCH
HUTInformation Technology$93.55$11.5B2%86%-84.5-3.686.670.903DBC
T1WATCH
ARWRHealth Care$86.34$12.2B15%97%-82.46.9810.451.089DAB
T1WATCH
CRRFYConsumer Staples$3.85$13.6B7%89%-82.05.317.321.000DBC
T1WATCH
GLNCYMaterials$16.22$95.2B16%98%-81.60.6811.001.022DBC
T1ACT
HTOUtilities$64.32$2.7B11%93%-81.614.728.221.049DAC
T1WATCH
AAOIInformation Technology$105.53$9B10%91%-81.4-8.597.790.810DCC
T1ACT
AUGOMaterials$84.91$7.1B11%91%-80.19.007.621.035CCC
T1WATCH
FANGEnergy$199.22$55.8B12%92%-80.15.608.131.025BAB
T1WATCH
ESTAHealth Care$74.29$2.2B5%85%-79.8-0.686.381.012CCC
T1WATCH
BTUEnergy$28.85$3.5B4%84%-79.61.016.071.008DBC
T1WATCH
AXGNHealth Care$48.28$2.6B20%100%-79.15.5012.931.095CAB
T1WATCH
KGSEnergy$62.59$6.3B14%91%-77.8-2.917.820.909BCB
T1WATCH
KEELInformation Technology$3.47$2.1B2%80%-77.4-7.955.290.823DBC
T1WATCH
INVXEnergy$30.07$2.1B10%87%-77.25.276.851.060CAB
T1ACT
HSBCFinancials$107.11$367B16%93%-76.512.768.181.077DAB
T1ACT
CAIXYFinancials$5.19$108.3B13%89%-76.113.827.361.078CAB
T1WATCH
BKDHealth Care$11.77$2.8B9%85%-75.7-1.716.280.955DCD
T1WATCH
AMRMaterials$225.41$2.9B7%82%-75.65.645.831.002EAC
T1WATCH
KNXIndustrials$71.99$11.7B8%83%-75.2-7.615.910.982CBB
T1ACT
GEFMaterials$85.00$4.8B13%88%-75.024.477.021.167DAB
T1WATCH
CIFRInformation Technology$17.74$7.4B2%76%-74.3-3.314.720.860ECD
T1WATCH
AMEnergy$22.60$10.7B17%91%-74.06.597.601.008CBB
T1WATCH
ARLPEnergy$26.48$3.4B10%84%-73.84.946.011.029CAB
T1WATCH
CURLFHealth Care$9.90$2.6B14%88%-73.8-6.347.061.139CAB
T1WATCH
GNLReal Estate$9.12$2.1B4%77%-72.5-3.094.810.979DCC
T1ACT
ACTFinancials$49.27$6.8B17%88%-71.623.557.121.083CAB
T1ACT
GKOSHealth Care$177.47$10.5B20%90%-70.723.517.561.206CAB
T1ACT
LXPReal Estate$60.78$3.6B19%89%-70.619.797.301.094DAB
T1WATCH
EPDEnergy$38.94$84.1B24%95%-70.35.799.101.012BAB
T1ACT
AVALFinancials$5.34$6.3B10%80%-70.05.695.431.067BAB
T1ACT
BNSFinancials$93.82$114.4B25%94%-69.912.948.951.067CAB
T1ACT
HNGEHealth Care$92.37$7.5B9%78%-69.317.455.031.215BAA
T1WATCH
BRKRHealth Care$58.50$8.9B17%86%-69.22.436.581.093DAC
T1ACT
CNOFinancials$56.75$5.3B23%92%-68.922.307.981.085CAB
T1WATCH
COHUInformation Technology$50.72$2.4B18%87%-68.9-0.716.670.972CBB
T1ACT
ETEnergy$21.50$74B25%94%-68.815.438.701.050BAB
T1WATCH
ARCBIndustrials$141.12$3.2B19%88%-68.3-5.916.931.008CAB
T1WATCH
AAUCMaterials$23.62$3.3B10%78%-68.3-5.365.080.874CDC
T1WATCH
LGNIndustrials$52.97$8.7B1%69%-68.2-16.823.700.802CDC
T1WATCH
DELHYConsumer Discretionary$4.20$12.9B3%71%-68.0-7.673.861.110DAB
T1WATCH
HALEnergy$37.07$30.9B26%94%-67.8-2.658.660.924CBC
T1WATCH
EEnergy$53.58$77.2B31%98%-66.32.3110.961.034CAB
T1ACT
GENBHealth Care$16.39$2.1B6%72%-66.08.354.181.061EAC
T1WATCH
FQVLFMaterials$32.20$26.9B8%74%-66.02.494.391.094CBB
T1WATCH
CNREnergy$99.62$4.9B14%80%-65.94.765.361.046CAB
T1WATCH
LIONCommunication Services$11.17$3.3B21%87%-65.9-10.066.680.926DCD
T1WATCH
LBRTEnergy$20.59$3.4B20%85%-65.0-11.536.170.758DDD
T1ACT
CORTHealth Care$111.62$12.1B9%72%-63.315.414.221.357BAA
Short Exit Monitor
T1 ACT 0 · T1 WATCH 40 · T2 ACT 0 · T2 WATCH 0
Currently-weak names (Quant Grade D/E) where fundamentals are improving and Q3M > Q12M. Watch for cover.
TierTickerSectorPriceMCapZ PctlQ PctlDivgQ3MQ12MMAFundQuantTotal
T1WATCH
EQXMaterials$12.81$15B99%60%+38.84.782.440.989BDC
T1WATCH
GPOREnergy$179.40$3.2B99%48%+50.26.771.000.986CDC
T1WATCH
ALNYHealth Care$266.11$35.6B98%5%+92.8-1.40-6.490.854CED
T1WATCH
ALHCHealth Care$13.54$2.8B97%36%+61.2-0.30-0.780.793BED
T1WATCH
LRLCYConsumer Staples$88.96$236.9B97%22%+74.51.57-2.951.022DDD
T1WATCH
LIFInformation Technology$44.17$3.6B97%6%+91.1-1.92-6.431.043CED
T1WATCH
CELHConsumer Staples$30.66$7.8B96%5%+91.43.77-6.640.991DEE
T1WATCH
GLXYFinancials$26.33$15.5B96%41%+55.10.46-0.240.848EDD
T1WATCH
CLXConsumer Staples$93.06$11.3B95%8%+86.7-1.78-5.631.054DDD
T1WATCH
EQTEnergy$55.17$34.5B95%51%+43.83.821.240.990DDD
T1WATCH
AREReal Estate$52.65$9.1B94%8%+86.02.89-5.621.031DDD
T1WATCH
CHWYConsumer Discretionary$23.66$9.7B94%3%+90.66.72-7.411.046BEC
T1WATCH
HXGBYInformation Technology$10.02$26.9B94%19%+75.08.73-3.621.062CDD
T1WATCH
EXEEnergy$97.91$22.7B93%46%+46.26.950.771.019DDD
T1WATCH
CEGUtilities$298.96$105.9B92%28%+64.09.48-1.870.999CED
T1WATCH
CALMConsumer Staples$74.63$3.5B91%4%+87.11.00-7.241.034DED
T1WATCH
AEROIndustrials$15.79$2.3B91%11%+79.4-3.36-5.040.957CED
T1WATCH
KMBConsumer Staples$104.96$34.9B91%17%+73.64.89-3.851.050CDD
T1WATCH
AXONIndustrials$515.67$41.9B90%15%+75.21.44-4.231.176CDC
T1WATCH
GRFSHealth Care$7.80$5.3B89%5%+84.60.64-6.621.018CED
T1WATCH
ATATConsumer Discretionary$34.36$4.7B88%24%+64.22.76-2.761.002AEC
T1WATCH
JBTMIndustrials$117.72$6.1B87%13%+74.1-4.47-4.720.956CED
T1WATCH
BCOIndustrials$108.87$4.5B86%25%+60.46.81-2.401.046BED
T1WATCH
LOARIndustrials$67.85$6.4B85%17%+68.81.15-3.921.063CDD
T1WATCH
FUTUFinancials$121.75$17.1B85%9%+76.012.27-5.460.966CED
T1WATCH
CAGConsumer Staples$15.48$7.4B85%27%+57.413.86-1.891.085DDD
T1WATCH
HDConsumer Discretionary$321.05$320.3B84%3%+81.70.33-8.181.018DED
T1WATCH
ITWIndustrials$270.12$76.9B84%32%+52.04.64-1.421.062CDC
T1WATCH
GRABIndustrials$3.42$14B83%1%+82.0-1.21-9.060.981CED
T1WATCH
HKXCYFinancials$52.45$66.3B82%10%+72.04.88-5.301.020CED
T1WATCH
CGEMYInformation Technology$24.71$20.5B81%21%+60.14.51-3.301.066DDD
T1WATCH
BAMFinancials$50.60$80.8B80%6%+73.73.82-6.261.061ADC
T1WATCH
ADBEInformation Technology$266.51$105.9B79%16%+63.34.24-4.031.097BDC
T1WATCH
ATMUIndustrials$48.34$3.9B79%33%+46.41.24-1.270.970BED
T1WATCH
KTBConsumer Discretionary$73.59$4B79%31%+47.61.82-1.501.038CDD
T1WATCH
IRTCHealth Care$123.07$4.1B79%7%+71.37.60-5.991.038CDC
T1WATCH
DKNGConsumer Discretionary$24.01$11.9B78%3%+75.6-0.68-7.840.984DED
T1WATCH
HLNHealth Care$9.60$42.2B78%40%+37.65.97-0.311.044DDD
T1WATCH
IDXXHealth Care$535.38$42.2B77%9%+68.2-5.06-5.611.004CED
T1WATCH
GXOIndustrials$48.32$5.5B74%20%+54.5-3.26-3.510.957DED

Methodology

Jegadeesh–Titman 12-1 Momentum
Cross-sectional momentum, 1993

Q12M is the risk-adjusted Jensen's alpha over 12 months relative to the S&P 500: α / σ × 1000. This isolates excess return (above CAPM) per unit of total volatility — the Information Ratio expression of the 12-month-minus-1 anomaly originally documented by Jegadeesh & Titman.

Empirical finding: top decile by 12-1 return beats bottom decile by ~12% annually over 3-12 month holding periods, robust across decades and markets.

Hedgeye TRADE / TREND / TAIL
Three-duration confirmation

Q3M (TRADE, ~3 months), Q6M (TREND, ~6 months), and Q12M (TAIL, ~12 months) together form a three-duration framework. Conviction comes from alignment: bullish setups require positive alpha at all three durations andMA(30/100) > 1.0.

Inflection — Q3M crossing above Q12M — is the actionable trigger for Reload entries.

Divergence Definition
Z pctl − Q pctl

Z and Q are independent axes — composite-Z measures sector-relative fundamental quality, Q12M measures market-relative risk-adjusted momentum. Their universe percentiles are differenced: positive = fundamentals ahead of momentum, negative = momentum ahead of fundamentals.

Computed within the $2B+ MCap universe only — small-cap noise dominates the tails otherwise.

Tier & Action Criteria
What separates ACT from WATCH

Tier 1 requires |divergence| ≥ 30 (top/bottom decile of the divergence distribution). Tier 2 covers 15–30 (notable but less extreme).

ACT badge requires Quant Grade ∈ {A, B, C} andQ3M > Q12M (positive inflection). Without that, the same divergence reads as WATCH — direction is right, but timing or quality is missing.